How to pick winning sports bets

You can bet a favorite on the money line, where you're banking on them to win outright, or on the spread, where you need them to win by more. To pick the best bets, you still need to consider odds and choose events where your combined selections have the best chance of winning in relation to your odds. Winning sports betting requires avoiding –EV and finding +EV bets. Finding +EV Get Exclusive Access to Winning Sports Betting Picks for Free. Click on the. Betting strategy how to pick winning sports bets be used to enable you to win more money when sports betting online. This guide includes basic and advanced strategy.

Unveiling the Secrets to Picking Winning Sports Bets

As a dedicated sports enthusiast and betting aficionado, the quest for landing winning bets runs deep within my veins. In the ever-evolving world of sports betting, where surprises and upsets lurk at every corner, deciphering the code to success becomes a tantalizing challenge. Here, I delve into the intricacies and strategies that can help you maximize your chances of picking winning sports bets.

Thorough Research is Key

One of the fundamental pillars of successful sports betting is conducting thorough research. Knowledge is power in the world of betting, and the more information you gather, the better equipped you will be to make informed decisions. Delve into team statistics, player form, head-to-head records, and other pertinent data to gain a comprehensive understanding of the matchups.

Stay Disciplined and Avoid Emotional Betting

Discipline is a virtue that cannot be underestimated in the realm of sports betting. It is crucial to stick to a well-thought-out betting strategy and not let emotions cloud your judgment. Avoid chasing losses or succumbing to the temptation of placing impulsive bets based on personal biases. A level-headed approach is essential for long-term success.

Utilize Multiple Betting Markets

Exploring a diverse range of betting markets can significantly enhance your prospects of securing winning bets. Beyond traditional match outcomes, delve into alternative markets such as over/under goals, handicaps, correct score predictions, and player-specific bets. Diversifying your betting portfolio can mitigate risks and open up new avenues for potential profits.

Monitor Odds and Line Movements

Keeping a close eye on odds and line movements is imperative for astute sports bettors. Changes in odds can provide valuable insights into how the betting public and bookmakers perceive the outcome of a match. Understanding these fluctuations can help you spot value bets and capitalize on favorable odds before they shift.

Bankroll Management is Crucial

Effective bankroll management is the bedrock of sustainable sports betting success. Set a budget for your betting activities and adhere to proper money management principles. Avoid risking more than you can afford to lose on a single bet and implement staking strategies that align with your risk tolerance and objectives.

In Conclusion

By embracing research, discipline, diversity in betting markets, vigilant odds monitoring, and prudent bankroll management, you can significantly increase your chances of picking winning sports bets. Betting on sports is not merely a game of chance but a strategic pursuit that rewards those who approach it with diligence and expertise.

The Top 15 Sports Betting Strategies

Sports Betting Odds: How They Work and How to Read

It may seem random, but with data analysis tools you can find real trends that can help guide your bets. For example, over the past 13 seasons the underdog has covered the spread It measures how teams perform against the point spread, not just against their opponents. Check out our best NFL picks against the spread to get an advantage over the sportsbooks.

That is an incredible stat to ponder. It makes it seem that no matter what strategy you employ, your point spread bet is a coin toss. That extra three percent represents a massive difference for your bottom line so look for those opportunities at NFL betting sites and apps. One advanced strategy punters use at the start of a new NFL season is the Pythagorean wins strategy, which is a name you might remember from math class in school.

It takes into account the amount of points scored by a team and compares it to the number of points scored against them. Amazingly, from to the Super Bowl was won 11 out of 16 times by the team that had the highest Pythagorean wins stat, not just the most outright victories. Instead of doing the math yourself, you can find the stats for all teams posted at the beginning of the season.

You can also find free calculators online that will do the math for you. This is just one example of a more advanced strategy used to wager on the NFL. In basketball, one advanced strategy we really like is going against the grain and betting against the public.

This works especially well with point totals and teams that put up big numbers at home. The common bettor will remember how a team performs at home, how quick their pace of play is, how many points they give up to the opposition, and then simply bet the same way the next time that team plays at home.

This means you can often get a great price betting the underdog or the under on totals in these spots. This works especially well when both teams have had busy workloads or are on the tail end of a back-to-back. Check if your state has legal NBA betting on our guide. If it does, head on over to one of the many NBA betting sites and you're good to go.

Statistics have shown that when a total is higher 8. This is also a viable option when the underdog has lost their previous game and the public is swayed by a small sample size and the odds have increased. How to pick winning sports bets For more on baseball betting strategy, check out our full guide on how to bet on the MLB. Check if your state has legal MLB betting. There are lots of reasons hockey is a great sport for more advanced betting strategies.

There are also lots of edges for gamblers willing to put in the work. One common example is that the betting public for hockey tends to put too much weight on home ice advantage. This creates excellent value for those willing to bet on the road underdog. For more hockey betting tips and strategies, read our full guide on how to bet on the NHL.

The Kelly Criterion is a formula used to calculate how much to bet when the odds are in your favor. Obviously, in sports betting, it is going to be difficult to know the precise probability of success or failure of an event. However, with research and solid deduction we can make some reasonable guesses and then apply the Kelly Criterion to see how much of our bankroll to bet.

Say, for example, that you think the chances of Rafael Nadal beating Roger Federer on Clay are , and the decimal odds available at your sportsbook are 1. Some are great quality while others might steer you far wide of your target. The information you gather along the way is really what matters most. As we stated above, it is best to be a master of one field than an average Joe across the board.

Find your niche and then develop or employ strategies that work best for that sport and for the teams or players you know best. Risk-free betting offers are also a crucial decision-making point when it comes to deciding which sportsbook you want to open an account with.

Risk-free betting offers can double the number of bets you can make with your first bet. It pays to learn about risk-free betting offer so check out our guide on risk-free betting offers. For more information on the current sports betting laws in every state, check out our comprehensive guide to US legal sports betting.

Betting Against the Public. Betting on the Moneyline in Sports. How to Read Betting Odds and Lines. Line Movement in Sports Betting. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling. For all the latest tips, predictions and special offers directly into your inbox once a week.

We support responsible gambling. Gambling problem. Call Gambler. Advertising disclosure: WSN contains links to online retailers on its website. When people click on our affiliate links and make purchases, WSN earns a commission from our partners, including ESPN and various sportsbooks. Sports Sports. View all our Sports in one place. See all Sports.

Sportsbooks Sportsbooks. View all our Sportsbooks in one place. See all Sportsbooks. Promos Promos. View all our Promos in one place. See all Promos. Placing bets intelligently requires having a good grip on the main types of betting odds and the ability to read and interpret their various formats.

The three main types of betting odds are fractional British odds, decimal European odds, and money line American odds. These are alternate ways of presenting the same odds and hold no difference in terms of payouts. This means that the expected chances or the percentage probability of an event occurring can be converted and presented in any of the odds formats mentioned here.

Money line odds aka "American odds" or "U. In both cases, winners get their initial wager back in addition to the amount they've won. The difference between the odds for the favorite and the underdog widens as the probability of winning for the favorite increases. In the U. What is a lean in sports betting Supreme Court gave states permission to legalize sports betting if they wished to do so.

It is currently legal in 38 states plus D. In this matchup, there is a big difference between the two odds, indicating a much higher probability of the Chiefs winning the game. Often the odds are much closer. Fractional odds aka "British odds," "U. Let's posit that the following are the odds on the three teams most likely to win the NBA Championship:.

It can quickly be determined that the Brooklyn Nets are the favorites, while the perceived odds of Golden State or Milwaukee winning are longer. Decimal odds aka "European odds," "digital odds," or "continental odds" are popular in continental Europe, Australia, New Zealand, and Canada. These are a bit easier to work with and understand.

The favorites and underdogs can be spotted instantaneously by looking at the numbers. In other words, your stake is already included in the decimal number no need to add back your stake , which makes the calculation easier. Let's look at an example involving who might have won the U. Suppose the decimal odds were:. You should always set limits on the number of bets placed per week or even day, or use a staking plan to manage your bankroll whilst implementing these betting strategies.

For example, it may be best to avoid betting on your favorite team or player solely based on personal bias and instead make your betting decisions based on facts and analysis. Scouring multiple platforms to ensure you are getting the best value for your bets will ultimately give you the best chance of creating a winning formula.

Set Yourself Limits: Budgeting Establishing a budget for yourself before taking part in betting activities is essential for any winning sports betting strategy. Understanding Odds: Familiarize Yourself By familiarizing yourself with the different types of odds decimal, American or fractional and how they represent the probability of an outcome, you will be able to assess the potential value of each bet.

Specialize: Focus On One Sport Instead of placing bets across multiple different sports, with different landscapes, abilities and rules, focus on one sport that you are truly passionate about. Betting Strategy: Focus On Specific Bet Types By using and developing a betting strategy that suits your risk tolerance and style you would be able to master the art of sports betting far more easily.